Brexit

Ford's debt rating downgraded by Moody's: a strong sign (2019/09/22)

Soumis par Géry Deffontaines, GERPISA le 24 sept. 2019 - 16:39
in
Junked Ford

La chronique hébdomadaire de Bernard Jullien Ancien directeur du Gerpisa, maître de conférences en économie à l'Université de Bordeaux et conseiller scientifique de la Chaire de Management des Réseaux du Groupe Essca.

In the midst of the Frankfurt Motor Show, Moody's announced that it was downgrading its credit rating on Ford Motor Company's debt from Baa3 to Ba1.
 
It thus removed bonds issued by Ford from the "investment grade" category and placed them in the "speculative" a/k/a "junk bond" category.
As asset management specialists explain, the risk is that prices will fall as some investors are not allowed to hold such securities, displaced to "non-investment grade" category: they are then required to get rid of them.
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Dégradation de la note de la dette de Ford par Moody’s : un signe fort

Soumis par Géry Deffontaines, GERPISA le 23 sept. 2019 - 14:00
in
Junked Ford

La chronique hébdomadaire de Bernard Jullien Ancien directeur du Gerpisa, maître de conférences en économie à l'Université de Bordeaux et conseiller scientifique de la Chaire de Management des Réseaux du Groupe Essca.

En plein Salon de Francfort, l’agence Moody’s a indiqué qu’elle dégradait la note de solvabilité qu’elle attribue à la dette de Ford Motor Company de Baa3 en Ba1. 
Elle retirait ainsi les obligations émises par Ford de la catégorie des "investissables" pour les placer dans celle des "spéculatives", celle des "obligations de pacotilles" ou "junk bonds".
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Hard Brexit and the car industry

Soumis par Géry Deffontaines, GERPISA le 31 janv. 2019 - 20:47
in
Hard Brexit, take your bets : 7 weeks to go...

The weekly column of Bernard Jullien , former director of Gerpisa, lecturer in economics (University of Bordeaux) and scientific advisor to the Essca Group's Chair of Network Management.

No one had wanted to believe in Brexit and it came. No one wanted to believe in a "no deal" and this is the scenario that is now emerging.
 
It was clear that it was politically important for Brussels to flex muscles and to indicate that opting out would have a cost. 
It was clear that Brexit supporters, on the other hand, were keen on showing that they did not intend to let themselves be reimposed on Brussels standards as part of a deal.
However, it was thought on both sides that reason would eventually prevail and that well-understood interests on both sides of the Channel would lead to a Norwegian-style free-trade agreement. 
The anti-Theresa May vote on 15 January shattered these hopes, which were a reason not to be very actively preparing for a "no-deal". In the automotive industry, as elsewhere, we must take up our calculatoragain and try to understand very quickly what is likely to happen.
 
To this end, a number of statistical realities should be recalled with respect to British motor vehicle foreign trade. 
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